The White House Continues to Push RAISE, Can it Pass?
The White House has been pursuing legislation that would likely be another challenge to pass. Current Senate rules require a simple-majority 51 votes but if enough Senators want to block a bill, then they can create a filibuster which would require 60 votes to continue. [How Many Votes Does it Take to Pass a Senate Bill?]
This keeps controversial bills from being passed while they have a slim majority lead. The Republican party has been operating much like the Democrats did to pass Obamacare, but, they’re forgetting that they don’t have a super-majority like the Democrats did when they had the White House. Obamacare Was Not Passed Via Reconciliation.
Currently, with the RAISE act – the GOP would be fulfilling one of its campaign promises. Trump’s campaign rhetoric and history of brash immigration stances might also make this bill the White House is backing, less capable of passing despite how beneficial it would be for American workers. In June 2015, he’s quoted as saying,
“When Mexico is sending its people, they’re not sending their best… They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re rapists. And some, I assume are good people.”
Senators Tom Cotton (Ark.) and David Perdue (Ga.) proposed the immigration bill based more on a merit-based system rather than the family based system currently in place, however there are still an indefinite path for spouses and minor children. There is also a cap on the number of refugee admittance to 50,000 per year.
Korey Lane says that the goal of the bill is to reduce overall immigration by half and to focus on changing the system to more of an employment-based visas and for immediately family household members. It wants to “retain immigration preferences for the spouses and minor children of U.S. citizens and legal permanent residents.”
Also, according to Korey Lane the bill would do away with immigration preferences for adult parents of U.S. citizens, adult siblings of U.S. citizens, unmarried adult children of U.S. citizens, Married adult children of U.S. citizens, and unmarried adult children of legal permanent residents. That would shake up the immigration system causing people who are trying to come here legally to obtain on their own, the skills needed to join the labor market.
The Whitehouse may need to take a few notes from its failure of the “Skinny” Obamacare repeal. It tried to do all three-steps of the repeal plan which included repeal and replace, the partial-repeal option and the so-called “skinny repeal” which would target the individual mandate which would not change most of the structure with Obamacare.
John McCain has reportedly been speaking with Chuck Schumer about working on a bipartisan plan for immigration reform.
“I think you have to consider that we do want high-tech people, but we also need low-skilled people who will do work that Americans won’t do,” McCain told The Arizona Republic. “I wouldn’t do it. Even in my misspent youth, I wouldn’t do it.”
John McCain says he hopes to revive immigration reform upon return to Congress. Several Republican Senators other than the original people who have proposed the bill have also spoken out against it.
Trump has been lashing out at people on Twitter for not following his agenda, but, perhaps what he should be looking at is the possibility that people within his own party are starting to come out against him.
Why exactly are they pushing policies that may be dead-on-arrival? This is to some degree perplexing. On a similar subject, Stan Collender from Forbes says that passing tax reform is going to be just as difficult as passing Obamacare because the policies for replacing the law will still be the same.
The Republican party was elected on a narrow-majority, so, perhaps rather than trying to do grand proposals that they campaigned on, they may need to do more modest bills.
Otherwise, all bills that the Republicans will want to pass, even good ones, will be dead-on-arrival and Trump will continue to lash out against the media, not understanding how governing works.
Even with just a simple majority, it’s proven just as difficult to pass Obamacare without using the filibuster. So, we will see if the GOP learns to govern and pass bills. Are they just doing it to say they tried their best, then when midterms roll around they’ll attack the other party as obstructionists?